Sunday, 16 August 2015

SG50 (Local Portfolio Log Aug 2015)

(Admin announcement! I have added 2 pages to the linkbar at the top. They are extracts from my previous posts with regard to personal portfolio performance tracking and asset allocation :D)

Hello all,

A belated happy 50th National Day to all Singaporeans!

August has been a pretty exciting month for the markets. The local economy has not been doing too good, and GDP projections have been revised downwards once again. Coupled with the sudden and rapid devaluation of the Yuan, oil prices trending lower, and an anticipated rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, caused a spike in volatility in equity markets worldwide as well as a general selloff in the local markets.

In view of all this, I have deployed more of my cash reserves to pick up a few more stocks locally, and right now unfortunately am more or less out of dry powder for the next couple of months. I increased my stake in ST Engineering on price weakness, and doubled my stake in Capitaland Commercial Trust, as its prices have been depressed due to the trend of lower office rentals, and anticipated interest rate hikes which would squeeze it on both its asset values and interest expenses. I picked up more of it due to it being priced at a good discount to its net asset value, relatively low gearing, stable occupancy and decent yield on cost. As always, only time will tell whether this is a good buy or not.

Most of my holdings have been reporting pretty flat earnings, and interestingly, noticeably higher finance expenses. Boustead has posted quite a large decline in its quarter on quarter net profit (61%), in part due to the demerger of its real estate division Boustead Projects, resulting in a large rise in profit attributed to non-controlling interests. If it was adjusted to take that into account, it would be a more palatable 11% reduction. That aside, management did state that profits in FY16 would still be considerably lower due to a challenging business environment, in particular the oil and gas sector.

The newcomer to my portfolio, Super Group, also posted a decline in earnings this quarter, due to a decline in Eastern European and South East Asian sales in its Branded Consumer segment, as well as the expiry of a tax incentive enjoyed by an overseas subsidiary. This is slightly offset by the increase in revenue from its Food Ingredients segment. It did however report an increase in its EBITDA, as well as positive cash flow and remains in a net cash position.

As a result of mostly flat earnings and some declining earnings, increased market volatility and a general equity selloff, my portfolio value took a pretty big hit this month. You may notice that even though my holdings have increased, the portfolio value is still lower than it was last month.

On a brighter note, the local portfolio did churn out a good S$2347.90 in dividends this month, which makes me a happy camper. In addition, Sembcorp and Super Group are maintaining their dividend payouts for September, and ST Engineering increased its interim dividend 4 to 5 cents. All this, coupled with my additional holdings, bring up the local portfolio's average monthly dividends to S$628. No changes in terms of my foreign holdings since the last update.

Current standing of the local portfolio:

Stock  Shares Market Value (S$) % of Portfolio
SingTel 5000 20,300.00 13.27%
SATS 4000 15,200.00 9.93%
Keppel Corp 2000 14,700.00 9.61%
SIA Engineering 4000 13,920.00 9.10%
ST Engineering 4000 13,080.00 8.55%
Sembcorp Ind 3000 10,770.00 7.04%
Ascendas Reit 4000 9,160.00 5.99%
CapitaCom Trust 6000 8,040.00 5.25%
CapitaMall Trust 4000 7,900.00 5.16%
ComfortDelGro 2000 6,220.00 4.07%
SingPost 3000 5,730.00 3.74%
Keppel DC Reit 5000 5,450.00 3.56%
Boustead 6000 5,340.00 3.49%
Suntec Reit 3000 4,950.00 3.24%
Cache Log Trust 4000 4,200.00 2.74%
Super Group 4000 3,600.00 2.35%
Keppel Reit 3000 3,045.00 1.99%
Boustead Proj 1800 1,404.00 0.92%

Portfolio Value $153,009
Dividends (Aug) $2,347.90
Average Monthly Dividends $628

Cheers!

Sunday, 19 July 2015

Local/Foreign Portfolio Log (Jul 2015)

Hello All,

The Eurozone crisis coupled with the Chinese stock market selloff brought about some excitement and presented some buying opportunities in the past month. Although the market did not fall as much as I expected, I deployed some cash to buy up some stocks which I thought were selling at a good price. No regrets as of now, but of course, the true test is in the long haul.

In the local portfolio, I initiated a position in Super Group, and bought more ST Engineering as well as Sembcorp Industries. For this month, I will only be receiving dividends from SingPost, which incidentally raised its dividend payout policy from 6.25 cents per share a year to 7 from this year onwards. It also is paying out a special dividend so that the payout this year goes up to 7 cents per share in total. August is traditionally a month with a high dividend payout for me, as many of my holdings pay out their final dividends then. As of now, it looks like the portfolio will be paying out around S$2340 next month :D

The current state of the local portfolio as shown below

Stock  Shares Market Value (S$) % of Portfolio
SingTel 5000 21,600.00 13.83%
Keppel Corp 2000 16,360.00 10.47%
SIA Engineering 4000 15,440.00 9.89%
SATS 4000 14,720.00 9.42%
Sembcorp Ind 3000 11,670.00 7.47%
ST Engineering 2900 9,860.00 6.31%
Ascendas Reit 4000 9,720.00 6.22%
CapitaMall Trust 4000 8,600.00 5.51%
Boustead 6000 7,440.00 4.76%
ComfortDelGro 2000 6,120.00 3.92%
SingPost 3000 5,760.00 3.69%
Keppel DC Reit 5000 5,400.00 3.46%
Suntec Reit 3000 5,190.00 3.32%
Cache Log Trust 4000 4,620.00 2.96%
CapitaCom Trust 3000 4,500.00 2.88%
Super Group 4000 4,240.00 2.71%
Keppel Reit 3000 3,360.00 2.15%
Boustead Proj 1800 1,584.00 1.01%

Portfolio Value $156,184
Dividends (July) $97.50
Average Monthly Dividends $589


In my foreign portfolio, I bought more of BAE Systems, GSK and Shell, and added longtime dividend stalwart Johnson & Johnson to it.

UK Portfolio:

Stock  Shares Market Value (£) % of Portfolio
Royal Dutch Shell 160 2,927.20 30.52
GlaxoSmithKline 175 2,399.25 25.01
Unilever 58 1,680.25 17.52
British Aerospace 204 984.10 10.26
Royal Mail 179 910.22 9.49
Tesco 200 436.10 4.55
British Petroleum 61 254.34 2.65

Portfolio Value £9,591
Dividends (July) £23.80
Average Monthly Dividends £39.60


US Portfolio:

Stock  Shares Market Value (US$) % of Portfolio
General Electric 75 2,043.00 49.04
Johnson & Johnson 10 1,000.80 24.02
Procter & Gamble 10 822.40 19.74
Solazyme 100 300.00 7.20

Portfolio Value $4,166.20
Dividends (July) $6.60
Average Monthly Dividends $10.33

Cheers!

Tuesday, 26 May 2015

Local/Foreign Portfolio Log (May 2015)

Good Day,

May has come and almost gone. And traditionally the portfolio does throw out a fair bit of cash in May, and this time round I've got a nice S$1.8k payout from the portfolio. As a result of a whole bunch of XDs, the portfolio value has since fallen from the nice $150k number reported last month.

A few significant updates off the top of my head from the most recent earnings season with regard to my local portfolio.

One of my larger holdings, SIA Engineering, reported another sub-par quarter. In addition, the final dividend has also been slashed from $0.20 last year to $0.085. The past year has been rather turbulent for the company, and from what I know, its due to airlines delaying heavy checks, reduction in engine shop visits due to newer engines requiring less frequent maintenance and overhaul. I would think that this level of earnings would continue in the near term (next 1-2 years). I still believe in the long term growth prospects of the company, its strong balance sheet, and the fleet service joint venture with Boeing looks promising in the long run.

Boustead Singapore also spun off its infrastructure developing arm into the newly listed Boustead Projects. As a result, I've gained 1800 shares of Boustead Projects. To be honest, I have only briefly glanced through it's prospectus, and I don't know much about the financial details of Boustead Projects. But from what I've noticed, the spinoff did unlock some shareholder value which was previously discounted as it was part of a larger conglomerate.

Many Singtel investors were expecting a special dividend this year, however none was announced. On a bright note, it did increase its final dividend payout marginally this year from 10 cents per share to 10.7 cents.

Another bright spark in the portfolio was SATS, one of my larger holdings as well. Though revenue remained stagnant, profits and EPS increased by quite a bit. A large contributor in my opinion was its cost-cutting and efficiency increasing efforts over the past year. It also increased its final dividend from 8 cents to 9 cents this year. SATS is a keeper for its strong balance sheet and free cash flow, though only time will tell whether it is able to increase its top-line. Also at current stock prices, in my opinion it is slightly overvalued by the market.

The rest of my holdings have been pretty stable in its earnings, not counting the oil and gas plays. Once again, my holdings are as shown below:

Stock  Shares Market Value (S$) % of Portfolio
SingTel 5000 21,200.00 14.29%
Keppel Corp 2000 17,680.00 11.92%
SIA Engineering 4000 16,080.00 10.84%
SATS 4000 13,400.00 9.03%
Ascendas Reit 4000 10,120.00 6.82%
CapitaMall Trust 4000 8,880.00 5.99%
Boustead 6000 8,640.00 5.83%
Sembcorp Ind 1900 7,961.00 5.37%
ST Engineering 2000 7,040.00 4.75%
ComfortDelGro 2000 6,100.00 4.11%
SingPost 3000 5,580.00 3.76%
Suntec Reit 3000 5,490.00 3.70%
Keppel DC Reit 5000 5,350.00 3.61%
CapitaCom Trust 3000 4,875.00 3.29%
Cache Log Trust 4000 4,640.00 3.13%
Keppel Reit 3000 3,570.00 2.41%
Boustead Proj 1800 1,710.00 1.15%

Portfolio Value $148,316
Dividends (May) $1,841.94
Average Monthly Dividends $554

A long time since I have updated on my foreign holdings. Over time, I have been slowly adding to them, and they've been providing decent returns (asides from my speculative punt in Solazyme). Oil and Gas plays (Shell, British Petroleum and to a lesser extent General Electric) have been rather volatile due to commodity price volatility and supply-side gluts. My UK and US portfolios as shown below:

UK Portfolio:

Stock  Shares Market Value (£) % of Portfolio
Royal Dutch Shell 130 2,600.65 31.19
GlaxoSmithKline 140 2,050.30 24.59
Unilever 58 1,670.98 20.04
Royal Mail 179 901.27 10.81
Tesco 200 438.80 5.26
British Aerospace 77 396.94 4.76
British Petroleum 61 279.23 3.35

Portfolio Value £8,338
Dividends (May) £78.66
Average Monthly Dividends £32.47

US Portfolio:
Stock  Shares Market Value (US$) % of Portfolio
General Electric 75 2,076.00 65.07
Procter & Gamble 10 799.50 25.06
Solazyme 100 315.00 9.87

Portfolio Value $3,190.50
Dividends (May) $0.00
Average Monthly Dividends $7.95

Until next time!