Monday 5 October 2015

160k Milestone :D

Hi all, just a short note today,

After today's rally in the stock markets, my local portfolio has hit the 160k milestone :D


As always, this being the market I expect it to fall below 160k sooner or later. But of course, I'd expect it to go higher than that in the long term also.

Cheers!

Tuesday 29 September 2015

Return of the Bear (Local Portfolio Log Sep 2015)

Good day to all

The Straits Times Index, Singapore's stock market barometer, has officially fallen into bear territory, defined by a 20% drop from all time highs. Concerns about China's economy, and by extension the global economy, as well as an impending US interest rate hike are the macro factors depressing worldwide equity markets.

Closer to home, the haze has been quite a pain, and might cause a minor slowdown in our local economy. Back in 2013, the haze caused an estimated loss of US$50 million to our economy. This one, though slightly less severe, seems to be more prolonged, and my guess is that the economic damage would be even more than what we had in 2013.

On the home front, my trusty 9 year old car's clutch (yes, I love my manual cars) and flywheel needed to be replaced, and soon after, one of my brakes started leaking brake fluid, causing it to require a brake replacement. All this has put a large dent in my disposable income. But I guess its one of the prices we pay for the convenience of owning a car in land-scarce Singapore.

The ongoing slump in the local stock market did throw up a few buying opportunities. Over the past month, I picked up another 3000 shares of Cache Logistics Trust, 1000 shares of VICOM, as well as 1000 shares of Singtel. Notably, no new significant company information has surfaced, just general market malaise causing the depressed prices.

I picked up Cache due to its attractive pricing of at or close to book value, reasonably long weighted average debt maturity as well as lease expiry. I've wanted to pick up VICOM for a while due to its large share of the vehicle inspection market in Singapore, with it bringing rather stable recurring income. I picked up more Singtel shares today, due to the steep drop in prices over the past 2 days. Though a 4th telco is in the pipeline, Singtel would be the least affected by it among the 3 major telcos in Singapore due to its large and diversified business.

In other parts of the portfolio, my longtime holding SATS is now a new addition in the Straits Times Index, and prices have been elevated recently, possibly by large capital inflow from index funds. Ascendas REIT also made a large A$ 1 billion purchase of a logistics portfolio in Australia. Though I think it didn't get the properties at that good a price, the low Aussie dollar, the high quality properties as well as the freehold land make it a decent long term purchase.

So my current local portfolio stands as such:

Stock  Shares Market Value (S$) % of Portfolio
SingTel 6000 21,300.00 13.55%
SATS 4000 15,920.00 10.13%
SIA Engineering 4000 14,720.00 9.36%
Keppel Corp 2000 13,500.00 8.59%
ST Engineering 4000 11,840.00 7.53%
Sembcorp Ind 3000 10,350.00 6.58%
Ascendas Reit 4000 9,120.00 5.80%
CapitaCom Trust 6000 7,950.00 5.06%
CapitaMall Trust 4000 7,560.00 4.81%
Cache Log Trust 7000 6,860.00 4.36%
VICOM 1000 6,000.00 3.82%
ComfortDelGro 2000 5,600.00 3.56%
SingPost 3000 5,100.00 3.24%
Keppel DC Reit 5000 5,050.00 3.21%
Boustead 6000 4,650.00 2.96%
Suntec Reit 3000 4,470.00 2.84%
Super Group 4000 3,060.00 1.95%
Keppel Reit 3000 2,820.00 1.79%
Boustead Proj 1800 1,314.00 0.84%

Portfolio Value$157,184
Dividends (Sep)$390.00
Average Monthly Dividends$687 

Cheers!

Sunday 16 August 2015

SG50 (Local Portfolio Log Aug 2015)

(Admin announcement! I have added 2 pages to the linkbar at the top. They are extracts from my previous posts with regard to personal portfolio performance tracking and asset allocation :D)

Hello all,

A belated happy 50th National Day to all Singaporeans!

August has been a pretty exciting month for the markets. The local economy has not been doing too good, and GDP projections have been revised downwards once again. Coupled with the sudden and rapid devaluation of the Yuan, oil prices trending lower, and an anticipated rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, caused a spike in volatility in equity markets worldwide as well as a general selloff in the local markets.

In view of all this, I have deployed more of my cash reserves to pick up a few more stocks locally, and right now unfortunately am more or less out of dry powder for the next couple of months. I increased my stake in ST Engineering on price weakness, and doubled my stake in Capitaland Commercial Trust, as its prices have been depressed due to the trend of lower office rentals, and anticipated interest rate hikes which would squeeze it on both its asset values and interest expenses. I picked up more of it due to it being priced at a good discount to its net asset value, relatively low gearing, stable occupancy and decent yield on cost. As always, only time will tell whether this is a good buy or not.

Most of my holdings have been reporting pretty flat earnings, and interestingly, noticeably higher finance expenses. Boustead has posted quite a large decline in its quarter on quarter net profit (61%), in part due to the demerger of its real estate division Boustead Projects, resulting in a large rise in profit attributed to non-controlling interests. If it was adjusted to take that into account, it would be a more palatable 11% reduction. That aside, management did state that profits in FY16 would still be considerably lower due to a challenging business environment, in particular the oil and gas sector.

The newcomer to my portfolio, Super Group, also posted a decline in earnings this quarter, due to a decline in Eastern European and South East Asian sales in its Branded Consumer segment, as well as the expiry of a tax incentive enjoyed by an overseas subsidiary. This is slightly offset by the increase in revenue from its Food Ingredients segment. It did however report an increase in its EBITDA, as well as positive cash flow and remains in a net cash position.

As a result of mostly flat earnings and some declining earnings, increased market volatility and a general equity selloff, my portfolio value took a pretty big hit this month. You may notice that even though my holdings have increased, the portfolio value is still lower than it was last month.

On a brighter note, the local portfolio did churn out a good S$2347.90 in dividends this month, which makes me a happy camper. In addition, Sembcorp and Super Group are maintaining their dividend payouts for September, and ST Engineering increased its interim dividend 4 to 5 cents. All this, coupled with my additional holdings, bring up the local portfolio's average monthly dividends to S$628. No changes in terms of my foreign holdings since the last update.

Current standing of the local portfolio:

Stock  Shares Market Value (S$) % of Portfolio
SingTel 5000 20,300.00 13.27%
SATS 4000 15,200.00 9.93%
Keppel Corp 2000 14,700.00 9.61%
SIA Engineering 4000 13,920.00 9.10%
ST Engineering 4000 13,080.00 8.55%
Sembcorp Ind 3000 10,770.00 7.04%
Ascendas Reit 4000 9,160.00 5.99%
CapitaCom Trust 6000 8,040.00 5.25%
CapitaMall Trust 4000 7,900.00 5.16%
ComfortDelGro 2000 6,220.00 4.07%
SingPost 3000 5,730.00 3.74%
Keppel DC Reit 5000 5,450.00 3.56%
Boustead 6000 5,340.00 3.49%
Suntec Reit 3000 4,950.00 3.24%
Cache Log Trust 4000 4,200.00 2.74%
Super Group 4000 3,600.00 2.35%
Keppel Reit 3000 3,045.00 1.99%
Boustead Proj 1800 1,404.00 0.92%

Portfolio Value $153,009
Dividends (Aug) $2,347.90
Average Monthly Dividends $628

Cheers!

Sunday 19 July 2015

Local/Foreign Portfolio Log (Jul 2015)

Hello All,

The Eurozone crisis coupled with the Chinese stock market selloff brought about some excitement and presented some buying opportunities in the past month. Although the market did not fall as much as I expected, I deployed some cash to buy up some stocks which I thought were selling at a good price. No regrets as of now, but of course, the true test is in the long haul.

In the local portfolio, I initiated a position in Super Group, and bought more ST Engineering as well as Sembcorp Industries. For this month, I will only be receiving dividends from SingPost, which incidentally raised its dividend payout policy from 6.25 cents per share a year to 7 from this year onwards. It also is paying out a special dividend so that the payout this year goes up to 7 cents per share in total. August is traditionally a month with a high dividend payout for me, as many of my holdings pay out their final dividends then. As of now, it looks like the portfolio will be paying out around S$2340 next month :D

The current state of the local portfolio as shown below

Stock  Shares Market Value (S$) % of Portfolio
SingTel 5000 21,600.00 13.83%
Keppel Corp 2000 16,360.00 10.47%
SIA Engineering 4000 15,440.00 9.89%
SATS 4000 14,720.00 9.42%
Sembcorp Ind 3000 11,670.00 7.47%
ST Engineering 2900 9,860.00 6.31%
Ascendas Reit 4000 9,720.00 6.22%
CapitaMall Trust 4000 8,600.00 5.51%
Boustead 6000 7,440.00 4.76%
ComfortDelGro 2000 6,120.00 3.92%
SingPost 3000 5,760.00 3.69%
Keppel DC Reit 5000 5,400.00 3.46%
Suntec Reit 3000 5,190.00 3.32%
Cache Log Trust 4000 4,620.00 2.96%
CapitaCom Trust 3000 4,500.00 2.88%
Super Group 4000 4,240.00 2.71%
Keppel Reit 3000 3,360.00 2.15%
Boustead Proj 1800 1,584.00 1.01%

Portfolio Value $156,184
Dividends (July) $97.50
Average Monthly Dividends $589


In my foreign portfolio, I bought more of BAE Systems, GSK and Shell, and added longtime dividend stalwart Johnson & Johnson to it.

UK Portfolio:

Stock  Shares Market Value (£) % of Portfolio
Royal Dutch Shell 160 2,927.20 30.52
GlaxoSmithKline 175 2,399.25 25.01
Unilever 58 1,680.25 17.52
British Aerospace 204 984.10 10.26
Royal Mail 179 910.22 9.49
Tesco 200 436.10 4.55
British Petroleum 61 254.34 2.65

Portfolio Value £9,591
Dividends (July) £23.80
Average Monthly Dividends £39.60


US Portfolio:

Stock  Shares Market Value (US$) % of Portfolio
General Electric 75 2,043.00 49.04
Johnson & Johnson 10 1,000.80 24.02
Procter & Gamble 10 822.40 19.74
Solazyme 100 300.00 7.20

Portfolio Value $4,166.20
Dividends (July) $6.60
Average Monthly Dividends $10.33

Cheers!